Thinking about the big issues around how sustainability links into the world of finance
Dr Ellen Quigley argues investors can make the 'most' difference in our efforts to reduce GHG emissions by focusing on the utility sector. This was one of the many really interesting points to emerge from a recent interview she gave with with Tom Gosling - it's well worth watching.
One way that investors are different is that we deal with uncertainty. We cannot be sure what the future will bring, but as we invest we can prepare for possible future events. Companies betting on only one outcome, normally the status quo, can be risky. The steel industry is a good example of this.
How the financial markets have reacted to the current tariff 'war' gives us some useful insights into how the sustainability transitions might play out. Of the three main alternative scenarios we suggest only one will deliver progress. The other two would lead to negative outcomes.
Companies (and many of their shareholders) respond best to issues that impact their long term profitability. Sustainability issues are often strategic issues for companies, with clear valuation creation implications. But not all sustainability issues have financial implications.
As an investor I would rather be roughly correct than precisely wrong. Or more strictly I would rather be broadly right about the two or three things that really matter to a company, even if it meant that I got everything else wrong.
A bad company does not always make a bad investment. If we want to persuade investors that a low sustainability company is too risky, we need to understand the difference between price & value.
Financial markets exist to provide liquidity, and to enable companies to raise new financial capital. Or do they? Are they more a mechanism to generate financial returns. If so, what might this mean for sustainability.
Do we really think enough about how firms will adapt to climate change. At the risk of sounding defeatist, we are already heading for c. 3 C of global warming. We need companies to prepare = adaption.
If a CEO knows they might not be in the job for long, they might focus on short term wins over long term value creation. As shareholders we need to be vocal in our support of good investment, even if it has a long payback.
High levels of share buybacks are often quoted as evidence that companies can afford sustainability investments. But the link is poor and better measures, such as profit margins and ROIC are available.
Proxy voting can be made better. This is important for all investors. Two foundations should be, better linking voting outcomes to long term value creation, and making proxy voting an integral part of the corporate engagement process.
Current financial reporting effectively ignores the investments that create the majority of a company's financial value - their intangible assets. This includes many environmental, social and governance factors. We need better disclosure on this, but how?